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A Turning Point in the Georgian Conflict?
Posted by Damozel At The New York Times, Andrew E. Kramer discusses the peace plan brokered by the French (as the country holding the rotating presidency of the EU). According to him, it provided the Russians with a rationale for pushing further into Georgia as part of a “peacekeeping” role they demanded under the agreement. Mr. Sarkozy also “failed to persuade the Russians to agree to any time limit on their military action.” (NYT)
The Russians demanded that their troops be allowed “in a peacekeeping role” outside the separatist enclaves and “to implement security measures” while “awaiting an international monitoring mechanism.” (NYT) Rationale or no rationale, they seemed to have been determined to do this anyway.
Russian troops have the right to take any actions necessary to prevent hostilities, said a Kremlin spokesman, Alexei Pavlov, including inside Georgia.
A senior American official “familiar with the talks” commented on the Russian insistence on the “security measures”:
“I think it was presented as, You need to sign on to this,’ ” the official said of Mr. Sarkozy’s appeal to the Georgians. “My guess is it was presented as, This is the best I can get.’ ” French and Russian officials were unavailable to comment on the Georgian official’s account of how the negotiations unfolded. (NYT)
At any rate, there could still be trouble ahead, some say.
The points agreed by Moscow and Tbilisi proscribe the use of force, pledge a ceasefire, and guarantee access for humanitarian aid. But the political and military aspects of the agreement are problematic and it could yet unravel. At Russian insistence, Georgian forces must return to base while Russian “peacekeepers” in South Ossetia are allowed to stage security patrols until an “international mechanism” is agreed. “That gives the Russians undefined security rights in undefined territory in Georgia. That’s an invitation to further problems,” the Swedish foreign minister, Carl Bildt, told the Guardian. (Guardian 2)
However Mikhail Saakashvili called American relief efforts “a turning point” in the conflict. (NYT2) Bush has sent American troops acheter cialis to Georgia on a “vigorous and ongoing” humanitarian effort. Bush said:
“We expect Russia to ensure that all lines of communication and transport, including seaports, airports, roads and airspace, remain open for the delivery of humanitarian assistance and for civilian transit…. We expect Russia to meet its commitment to cease all military activities in Georgia, and we expect all Russian forces that entered Georgia in recent days to withdraw from that country.” (NYT2)
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President Saakashvili, disappointed beforehand in the West’s dithering, expressed satisfaction with this move.
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“We were unhappy with the initial actions of the American officials, because they were perceived by the Russians as green lines, basically, but this one was very strong,” he said in a telephone interview after Mr. Bush’s statement in Washington. (NYT2)
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His praise might have been premature. He apparently assumed that American troops would help to defend Georgian seaports and airports. The Bush administration and Pentagon officials quickly disabused him of this notion. “A senior administration official said, “We won’t be protecting the airport or seaport, but we’ll certainly protect our assets if we need to.”(NYT2) World Affairs correspondent viagra kaufen at BBC News discusses the implications.
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As well as providing aid to many thousands of displaced Georgians, it also sends a range of political messages. It goes some way to responding to the concerns of many Georgians who believe Uncle Sam was not there for them when they needed him, and it tells the Russians that Washington is not backing away from the country it has described as a “beacon of democracy”. There is something of a military subtext too. The US is to use its navy and air force for this mission and warned the Russians that they must keep all transport infrastructu
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